Gold prices edged higher as hopes for a Fed rate cut in June and a weaker dollar boosted bullion’s appeal. Spot gold rose 0.1% to $2,166.39 per ounce, with U.S. gold futures up 0.4% to $2,167.70. Traders anticipate a 74% probability of rate cuts in June, with expectations shaped by upcoming U.S. core PCE price index data.
Gold prices edged higher on Monday as renewed bets that the U.S. Federal Reserve would begin cutting interest rates in June and a softer dollar lifted bullion’s appeal.
Spot gold was up 0.1% at $2,166.39 per ounce, as of 0648 GMT. U.S. gold futures climbed 0.4% to $2,167.70 per ounce.
The dollar was down 0.1% against its rivals, making gold less expensive for other currency holders.
“The environment is still looking quite healthy for the precious metal markets,” said Tim Waterer, chief market analyst at KCM Trade.
“Markets are still looking forward to impending rate cuts from the Fed. Looks like June is being the most probable time when they are sort of expected to pull the trigger on that first rate cut.”
Gold prices rose to an all-time high on Thursday after Fed policymakers indicated they still expected to reduce interest rates by three-quarters of a percentage point by the end of 2024 despite recent high inflation readings.
Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding bullion.
Traders are now pricing in a 74% probability that the Fed will begin cutting rates in June, according to the CME Group’s FedWatch Tool.
Investors are now awaiting U.S. core personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index data due on Friday to see if that could alter the Fed’s projections of three rate cuts for this year.
The index was seen rising 0.3% in February, which would keep the annual pace at 2.8%. Many markets are closed on Friday for Good Friday when the PCE data is due for release, so the full reaction is expected to be seen next week.
Spot gold may break support at $2,161 per ounce, and fall into a $2,147-$2,152 range, according to Reuters’ technical analyst Wang Tao.
Spot silver eased 0.1% to $24.62 per ounce, platinum rose 0.2% to $896.23 and palladium climbed 0.8% to $993.37.
The recent surge in gold prices has been driven by growing anticipation of a potential Federal Reserve rate cut in June. Investors and analysts alike have been closely monitoring the unfolding dynamics, as they assess the potential impact on the precious metal market. Speculation about a rate cut has bolstered the appeal of gold as a safe-haven asset, prompting a notable uptick in demand. As the market braces for potential shifts in monetary policy, the trajectory of gold prices remains intrinsically connected to the decisions made by the Fed. With various factors at play, from global trade tensions to economic data, the implications of a rate cut for the gold market are multi-faceted. As we navigate this complex landscape, it’s crucial for investors to stay attuned to both market sentiment and policy developments, as these elements collectively shape the outlook for gold and its role within investment portfolios.
Source: ARY NEWS
Gold prices have risen due to hopes of a Fed rate cut in June and a weaker dollar. This has made gold more appealing to investors. The market is anticipating rate cuts from the Fed, with June being the likely timeframe for the first cut. Fed policymakers expect to reduce interest rates despite recent high inflation readings. Traders are now pricing in a 74% probability of rate cuts in June. Investors are awaiting U.S. core personal consumption expenditure data to see if it will impact the Fed’s projections. Spot gold and other precious metals have experienced fluctuations in response to these factors.
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